Transistors may stop shrinking in five years
JUL 26, 2016
DOI: 10.1063/PT.5.029976
IEEE Spectrum : Moore’s law describes a historical trend concerning the density of transistors on computer chips, which has been doubling roughly every two years since the 1970s. The primary driver has been the continuing reduction in transistor size. However, a new analysis of transistor technologies suggests that by 2021 manufacturers will no longer find it economically viable to decrease the dimensions of transistors any further. The analysis, included in the 2015 International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors, suggests that manufacturers will probably continue to be able to increase transistor density by layering transistors vertically.
© 2016 American Institute of Physics
