Only a weak El Niño predicted this year
DOI: 10.1063/PT.5.028244
New York Times : Despite earlier predictions , it now looks unlikely that a strong El Niño will develop this year. According to the latest report from the Climate Prediction Center, part of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, most models predict a weak El Niño developing anywhere from September through November and continuing into early 2015. Because of the severe drought in California, which has received just one-fifth the usual rainfall so far this year, it had been hoped that a strong El Niño would bring some much-needed rain to the area. However, even a weak El Niño makes it less likely that there will be a La Niña event—which would have the opposite effect of an El Niño and bring continued drought to California.
