Discover
/
Article

The future of nuclear energy

MAR 01, 1981
A major commitment to nuclear power is possible only if the probability of a plant‐disabling accident can be further reduced and the public is able to accept relatively remote risks to health.

DOI: 10.1063/1.2914469

Alvin M. Weinberg

In many ways nuclear energy is a fantastic success: a completely new source of energy now producing, or soon scheduled to produce, about 20 exajoules per year or almost 10 percent of all the energy man now produces. This energy will come from approximately 500 large reactors in 36 countries (see figure 1). These reactors, if replaced by oil‐fired power plants, would require about 107 barrels of oil per day—that is, about one‐seventh of all the oil produced in the world. Were the output of these plants used for electric resistive heating, in principle 5×106 barrels of oil per heating day could be displaced; if used to recharge electric vehicles, perhaps 10×106 barrels.

References

  1. 1. M. Rotty, G. Marland, “Constraints on Fossil Fuel Use,” in Proc. Energy/Climate Interactions Workshop, Münster, West Germany, March 3–8, 1980 (in press).

  2. 2. Wolf Haefele, Energy in a Finite World, Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, (1980).

  3. 3. Reactor Safety Study: An Assessment of Accident Risks in U.S. Commercial Nuclear Power Plants, US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, WASH‐1400 NUREG‐75/014, October 1975.

  4. 4. Transactions of the American Nuclear Society 35, 12 (1980).

  5. 5. B. K. O. Lundberg, Speed and Safety in Civil Aviation, Report 95, Aeronautical Research Institute of Sweden, Stockholm (1963).

  6. 6. Paul Slovic, Images of Disaster: Perception and Acceptance of Risks from Nuclear Power, Proc. Fifteenth Ann. Mtg., Nat. Counc on Radiation Protection and Measurement, Washington, D.C., March 14–15, 1979.

  7. 7. N. C. Rasmussen, “Methods of Hazards Analysis and Nuclear Safety Engineering,” in Proc. N.Y. Acad. Sci. Conf. Three Mile Island Nuclear Accident: Lessons and Implications, New York, N.Y., April 8–10, 1980 (in press).

  8. 8. P. C. Roberts, Energy and Society, Commission of the European Communities Energy Systems Analysis Int. Conf., Dublin, Ireland, October 9–11, 1979.

  9. 9. A. M. Weinberg, “Social Institutions and Nuclear Energy,” Science 177, 27 (1972).https://doi.org/SCIEAS

  10. 10. P. Cappuro, Clinical Toxicology 14, 325 (1979).

  11. 11. Risk Assessment Review Group Report to the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, NUREG/CR‐0400 (1978).

  12. 12. D. Okrent, in “Comment on Societal Risk,” Science, 208, 372 (1980).

  13. 13. Environmental Aspects of Commercial Radioactive Waste Management, DOE/ET‐0029, May 1979.

  14. 14. Rev. Mod. Phys. 47, Supplement 1, (1975).

  15. 15. H. G. MacPherson, J. R. Trotter, “Do Childhood Cancers Result from Prenatal X‐rays?”Health Physics (in press).
    See also J. R. Trotter, Proc. of the Nat. Acad. of Sci. USA 77, 1763 (1980).

  16. 16. W. C. Clark, “Witches, Floods and Wonder Drugs: Historical Perspectives on Risk Management,” General Motors Symposium on Societal Risk A ment: How Safe is Safe Enough Warren, Michigan, October 7–9, 1979.

  17. 17. H. H. Rossi, in “The Effects on Populations of Exposure to Low Levels of Ionizing Radiation” (BEIR), National Academy of Sciences, (1980) page 320.

More about the Authors

Alvin M. Weinberg. Oak Ridge Associated Universities, Oak Ridge, Tennessee.

This Content Appeared In
pt-cover_1981_03.jpeg

Volume 34, Number 3

Related content
/
Article
Technical knowledge and skills are only some of the considerations that managers have when hiring physical scientists. Soft skills, in particular communication, are also high on the list.
/
Article
Professional societies can foster a sense of belonging and offer early-career scientists opportunities to give back to their community.
/
Article
Interviews offer a glimpse of how physicists get into—and thrive in—myriad nonacademic careers.
/
Article
Research exchanges between US and Soviet scientists during the second half of the 20th century may be instructive for navigating today’s debates on scientific collaboration.
/
Article
The Eisenhower administration dismissed the director of the National Bureau of Standards in 1953. Suspecting political interference with the agency’s research, scientists fought back—and won.
/
Article
Alternative undergraduate physics courses expand access to students and address socioeconomic barriers that prevent many of them from entering physics and engineering fields. The courses also help all students develop quantitative skills.

Get PT in your inbox

Physics Today - The Week in Physics

The Week in Physics" is likely a reference to the regular updates or summaries of new physics research, such as those found in publications like Physics Today from AIP Publishing or on news aggregators like Phys.org.

Physics Today - Table of Contents
Physics Today - Whitepapers & Webinars
By signing up you agree to allow AIP to send you email newsletters. You further agree to our privacy policy and terms of service.